时间管理在实时仿真中的改进

时问是分布仿真中的核心概念;时间管理是分布交互仿真的关键技术.探讨了分布交互仿真中高层体系结构(HLA)的时间管理机制,针对HLA在实时系统仿真方面的不足,分析其原因,提出了时间管理在实时仿真中的改进方法,对HLA在实时系统仿真中的应用有一定的参考价值.     

一种改进方位向非线性CS大斜视角SAR成像算法

大斜视角SAR成像时存在严重的距离走动现象,慢时域的距离走动校正在解决这一问题同时导致了聚焦深度问题.分析了二维频域解耦合后残余相位误差以及时域走动校正后的多普勒调频率误差,提出一种改进的方位向非线性CS算法,校正了三次以上距离迁徙带来的相位误差,同时采用改进非线性CS扰动方程补偿了随方位偏移量线性变化的调频率误差.仿真结果表明,改进算法的大斜视角大场景成像性能优于传统的高分辨大斜视角成像算法.     

A generic model of motor‐carrier fuel optimization

Fuel optimizers are decision models (software products) that are increasingly recognized as effective fuel management tools by U.S. truckload carriers. Using the latest price data of every truck stop, these models calculate the optimal fueling schedule for each route that indicates: (i) which truck stop(s) to use, and (ii) how much fuel to buy at the chosen truck stop(s) to minimize the refueling cost. In the current form, however, these models minimize only the fuel cost, and ignore or underestimate other costs that are affected by the models' decision variables. On the basis of the interviews with carrier managers, truck drivers, and fuel‐optimizer vendors, this article proposes a comprehensive model of motor‐carrier fuel optimization that considers all of the costs that are affected by the model's decision variables. Simulation results imply that the proposed model not only attains lower vehicle operating costs than the commercial fuel optimizers, but also gives solutions that are more desirable from the drivers' viewpoint. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

一种连续修正速度方向的导引方法

考虑制导炮弹由身管武器发射，其飞行控制能力和导引信息量有限，基于预测落点位置偏差量来修正速度方向并在控制时间内连续分配导引指令的思想，提出了一种新的三维末制导方法。根据非线性弹道方程组的级数解预测弹丸落点位置，得到落点与目标的偏差，并提出了两种通过此偏差解算当前速度方向修正量的方法。取剩余飞行时间为修正时间，通过将速度方向修正量分配到整个剩余导引段建立了加速度修正公式，以减小导引指令饱和的可能性。通过连续地预测落点和分配加速度指令来实时地导引飞行。仿真结果表明：该导引方法简单可行，精度高，对控制能力要求较低，且具备较好的制导效果和毁伤效果，为该体制制导炮弹的应用提供参考依据。     

一类具有时滞和阶段结构的SI传染病模型的稳定性分析

研究一类具有时滞和阶段结构的SI传染病模型。讨论了系统平衡点的存在性和局部稳定性，并讨论了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的全局稳定性。最后对所得理论结果进行了数值模拟。     

基于事例推理的装备软件成本估算研究

采用基于事例推理的估算方法可以很好地解决传统经验函数估算软件成本时的局限性。讨论了装备软件成本估算和基于事例推理研究的特点，从总体上描述了基于事例推理装备软件成本估算系统结构和实现流程，阐述了主要的研究内容，包括影响软件成本因素、系统的事例表示方法以及相似度的基本算法及事例的改写，并通过实例验证了事例推理在装备软件成本估算实践中的具体应用。     

The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于博弈论的装备科研、购置、维修经费比例关系优化分析

通过不同时期国家战略部署、科研发展情况及经济承受能力对装备经费分配的影响分析,采用博弈的方法,建立了装备科研、购置和维修费之间的比例关系优化模型,给出了寻求纳什均衡点的迭代算法,并进行了仿真计算.仿真结果证明了该方法的可行性与正确性.     

Determination of burn‐in parameters and residual life for highly reliable products

Today, many products are designed and manufactured to function for a long period of time before they fail. Determining product reliability is a great challenge to manufacturers of highly reliable products with only a relatively short period of time available for internal life testing. In particular, it may be difficult to determine optimal burn‐in parameters and characterize the residual life distribution. A promising alternative is to use data on a quality characteristic (QC) whose degradation over time can be related to product failure. Typically, product failure corresponds to the first passage time of the degradation path beyond a critical value. If degradation paths can be modeled properly, one can predict failure time and determine the life distribution without actually observing failures. In this paper, we first use a Wiener process to describe the continuous degradation path of the quality characteristic of the product. A Wiener process allows nonconstant variance and nonzero correlation among data collected at different time points. We propose a decision rule for classifying a unit as normal or weak, and give an economic model for determining the optimal termination time and other parameters of a burn‐in test. Next, we propose a method for assessing the product's lifetime distribution of the passed units. The proposed methodologies are all based only on the product's initial observed degradation data. Finally, an example of an electronic product, namely contact image scanner (CIS), is used to illustrate the proposed procedure. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

北斗系统新民用导航电文历书参数算法与性能分析

研究新公布的北斗民用导航电文中的两类历书与北斗二号导航电文历书的差异，对比分析各类历书对接收机首次定位时间的影响。利用实际的历书数据，比较不同历书类型的用户算法，分析不同龄期数据对接收机首次定位性能的影响。结果表明，高精度历书在1周的数据龄期内性能较为稳定，中等精度历书精度稍逊于高精度历书，但由于简化了电文空间，能接近高精度历书性能。简约历书进一步简化了参数数目和电文空间，尽管位置误差达到了数百千米，但却能在数月之后保持相应精度，有利于缩短接收机首次定位时间。